Monday, March 31, 2008

CNHI Survey: Women prefer McCain

Republican presidential candidate John McCain would defeat both Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama in a presidential matchup, data from a survey conducted by Community Newspaper Holdings Inc. shows.

The parent company of The Norman Transcript, CNHI owns more than 200 news outlets in 22 states. CNHI conducted the survey on the company’s newspaper Web sites between March 6 and March 15. While it didn’t use scientific methods, the survey did include ways to prevent respondents from participating more than once.

The survey — which was based on the Zoomerang Web site — received 2,123 responses.

“It gives an interesting look,” said Courtney Chojnacki, who supervised the survey. “It’s interesting how the women say they will vote.”

According to the survey, of the 2,132 who responded, a majority — 53 percent — were female, with the largest percentage of those falling in the 25- to 66-year-old age bracket.

Additionally, 42 percent of the respondents claimed membership in the Democratic Party, 37 percent Republican and 20 percent either Independent or undecided.

However, those Democrats may not help their party’s presidential nominee.

Of those who responded, 43 percent said they would vote for Republican John McCain in a race between Clinton and McCain with 36 percent supporting Clinton.

Twenty-two percent remain undecided.

In a race between McCain and Barack Obama, McCain, again, comes out on top with 47 percent for McCain and 33 percent for Obama; 20 percent, CHNI’s survey said, remain undecided.

Still, not all Democrats are worried by those numbers.

Oklahoma City-based Democratic political consultant Don Hoover said the survey is “pretty much meaningless.”

“Those kinds of Web surveys don’t count for much,” he said. “People are doing them because they are motivated one way or another. There’s not a chance of a random possibility.”

And while Hoover acknowledged he “wouldn’t be surprised” by a McCain win, he said the campaign season is still in the early stages.

“A McCain win would be due to the Republican nature of this state,” he said. “Oklahoma hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate in 44 years. It’s more of a partisan gap than a gender gap.”

Yet even for Oklahoma Democrats there is some good news, Hoover said.

“There’s always some bleed during a presidential year. In terms of legislative candidates, which is what we have a majority of this year, they will have to work hard and fund strong campaigns, regardless of what’s going on at the top of the ticket.”

Sunday, March 30, 2008

Campus gun bill moves to state Senate

KLAHOMA CITY -- A legislative proposal designed to allow concealed guns on the campuses of state colleges and universities was assigned to the Senate's appropriation sub-committee on education late Thursday afternoon.

Senate leaders made the assignment after House Bill 2513 was sent to the Senate's full appropriations committee. The bill passed the Oklahoma House of Representatives by a 65-36 vote last week.

Under House Bill 2513 -- written by Guthrie Republican Jason Murphey -- honorably discharged veterans and others with firearms training would be allowed to carry a concealed weapon on the campus of an Oklahoma college or university.

The bill is not popular with the state's higher education community.

The measure has drawn harsh criticism from education officials across the state including a plea from University of Oklahoma President David Boren asking lawmakers to kill the bill.

Additionally, in a statement issued to The Norman Transcript last week, OU's Faculty Senate passed a resolution asking lawmakers to reconsider their support of the measure.

"We believe that allowing guns on our campus would endanger the safety of our students, faculty and staff," the resolution said. "Furthermore, we, the faculty, cannot imagine being able to conduct class in a classroom where one or more of our students might be armed. We cannot imagine students being able to concentrate on a class, knowing that some of their fellow students might be armed. We ask you to reconsider."

Other groups echoed the OU faculty.

This week, the International Association of Campus Law Enforcement Administrators issued a statement saying the IACELA's Board of Directors believes "concealed carry" initiatives do not make campuses safer.

"There is no credible evidence to suggest that the presence of students carrying concealed weapons would reduce violence on college campuses. In fact, we are concerned that concealed carry laws have the potential to dramatically increase violence on college and university campuses that our members are empowered to protect."

The organization said it had several "concerns" about the bill, including the "potential for accidental discharge or misuse of firearms at on-campus or off-campus parties where large numbers of students are gathered or at student gatherings where alcohol or drugs are being consumed, as well as the potential for guns to be used as a means to settle disputes between or among students."

"There is also a real concern that campus police officers responding to a situation involving an active shooter may not be able to distinguish between the shooter and others with firearms," the organization's statement said.

Boren, a former governor, appealed to lawmakers to reconsider the proposal.

"While I strongly support the rights of our citizens to keep and bear firearms under the Second Amendment to the constitution, allowing guns on college campuses would endanger the safety of our students, faculty and staff," Boren said. "Every single day, I think about my responsibilities as president of a university for the safety of those on our campus. We have spent large sums of money to develop rapid communication systems and highly trained law enforcement personnel to take action in emergency situations. To allow other people to have guns who have not trained with our police units would create chaos in a crisis situation."

While he acknowledged he wasn't surprised by swift movement of HB 2513, state Sen. John Sparks, D-Norman, said he "really didn't expect" the measure to survive the Senate.

"Honestly, I don't think the bill will make it to the floor," Sparks said late last week. "The best thing for everyone involved would be if it died here."

However, on Friday, during a breakfast meeting sponsored by the Norman Chamber of Commerce, Sparks said he was leaning against the bill but would take "a wait and see approach" to view the bill's final language.

"I don't think it will happen this year," he said. "As a practical matter, I don't see it happening this year. It's happened too fast."
Rep. Scott Martin, R-Norman, who voted in favor of the bill, told chamber members that the law would narrowly define who could carry a gun on campus.

He also said the shootings at Virginia Tech last year and Northern Illinois this year showed police can't always respond in time.
"The police were too late," Martin said. "People were already dead by the time the police got there."

Murphey, the bill's author, said the proposal was a "commonsense step" to expand Oklahoma's concealed weapons law to combat campus violence.

"I don't know what could be safer for the students than having our men and women in the military to defend them if something went down," Murphey said Friday. "I wish there would have been someone that could have been armed in Illinois."
It's not sound public policy, he said, "to have a bubble around campuses, where criminals can penetrate."